I think you should be ok in Cheltenham, cases across most of the south west have been falling over the last month, think most places well below 100 per 100,000, so would put good money on us all staying tier 2.
Gloucester & Cheltenham (currently tier 2) have a higher infection rate than anywhere else in the SW at the moment (including tier 3 areas Bristol and South Gloucestershire).
Cheltenham has ~ 25/30 new cases a day. Doesn’t sound like a lot but sadly Gloucester hospital seem to be struggling.
Are there any places predicting COVID tier changes this week?
It’s my wife’s birthday on Thursday but am concerned we may need a back up/ alternative plan as we are meant to be going for a meal in Cheltenham.