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Scotland cannot just enter the EU. Debt to GDP needs to be 3% (estimated at currently 26% following COVID, was 6-7% before). A newly independent Scotland would see genuine austerity and large tax rises to meet this target. The Yes campaign have never had a plausible economic plan for a newly independent Scotland. The figures proposed in 2014 showed oil receipts of £20bn in 2020, the actual was £266m. And all this is before we even think about a currency.
If Scotland votes for independence the levels of economic migration will be huge. We already have a situation due to the new income tax system where those earning between £42k and £50k are paying a marginal tax rate of 53% including NI on their earnings over £42k..
The SNP are mired in the enquiry into the Salmond case, their own domestic under performance on education and health, and some of the worst COVID figures in Europe.
And the rumoured superinjunction!
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hurricane_run
@Dammit
Pre-supposing that the UK government has the capacity to prevent itself from breaking up it's better for the EU to have us (somewhat ironically) in the position that the Brexists claimed we were in previously - EU regulations with no control of them.
Essentially they'd like to park us in a "not quite Ukraine" outer ring, a satellite of the EU that was within its regulatory ambit but external to it's decision making.
The question is what happens if the UK gov can't keep control of overlapping, escalating crises - Covid, recession, Scottish and maybe Welsh indy, Red Wall rebellion with the closure of Nissan and so on. The incompetence and corruption of our current leadership is not exactly confidence inspiring on that note, so the question becomes at what point it's strategically better for the EU to recognise for e.g. Scotland as it's own state and possibly invite it into the EU.