Chat about Novel Coronavirus - 2019-nCoV - COVID-19

I'm terrible at stats so can't tell if the increase of the last few weeks is statistically significant or not.

I’m also not brilliant at stats but I’m not sure this is something where “significance” testing would apply as there is no (or very little) uncertainty in the numbers. These aren’t sample means used to estimate the true population figure - they’re hard numbers for the whole population, on a measure (death) which is traditionally hard to miss for recording purposes, so it’s either higher or it isn’t.

Whether the rise is significant in terms of its impact on society/the economy etc is obviously a different question.

Maybe it's muddled with the SD.

i.e. higher than average but still within the historical deviation.

Last week PHE said that it is statistically significant

Imagine 100 people die on average in October over the last 5 years. The actual numbers might be 90, 95, 100, 105 & 110. If this year 107 people died in October it is higher than the 5 year average but still normal.

Still feeding the troll. Good work fellas. You must feel proud.

Sorry!! Hooked every time

I dont think they have even posted anything related to bikes yet

Coffee and Covid. That's it.

Right at the heart of the community there mate.

For a zeroth order estimate call mean COVID-related deaths λ = 1379/week (previous weeks' figure), then standard deviation is √λ = 37 (deaths will follow a Poisson distribution). So an increase of 558 deaths would be 15 sigma, ie. significant as shit

You're well posh...

M&S TV dinner, a litre of Vodka and a netflix sub?

You're well posh...

*your

#FFS

He lives!

I have. Wish I hadn’t.

I shouldn’t have. Why would I? You’re not as interesting as you think. But now I’m trolling you so that’s mission accomplished on your part isn’t it. Boring this.

What troll? Who’s everyone replying to?

Some troll cunt who's being depressingly well fed...

Sorry. I’m out.

Fuck off sock puppet

Health minister: Don't reopen. R around 1 and hospitals still too busy.
DUP: Last week, screw that reopen, uses much abused mechanism to force it
Today: ok maybe not.
🙄

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-54995012

I'm not sure why, but I find the transformation of her name to dildo more offensive than I think I should. I am not trying to have a woke off.
WHy? Why do I find it more offensive than I should?

Names are a funny one.

Most people don't have a choice in their name, it's something that's given to them by their parents. Along with their schooling ("No Mater, I don't want to go to Eton, please send me to the local secondary modern.")

I tend to stop reading a comment if someone refers to "Dildo" or "Hattie Mancock" or "de Pfeffel", etc.

It's also bottom of this scale, which isn't the best foundation for an argument:-

(From: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Graham%27s_Hierarchy_of_Disagreement)

Hattie Mancock

His university nickname was worse

Why do I find it more offensive than I should?

It sound misogynistic (at least to me).

I dunno, but reckon I'll still find it mildly amusing for another week or so, then find it really tiresome.