US Politics

I'm really struggling to focus on work, esp now when they're obviously counting through the night. Yesterday I could ignore it until lunch at least.

There's a really good article about collaborators some where which discusses this.

Trump lowers expectations. His priority is just greed. He’s anti-progressive. That’s enough for many.

https://youtu.be/cE-zp0rQ3BA

errrr. what happens if it's a tie?
Rock, Paper, Scissors?

what happens if it's a tie?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-us-2020-54795426

Biden takes the lead in GA by 917 votes.

https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1324643210283593728

Biden ahead in Georgia

"Trump is fat Jesus."

Hahaaa!

House and Senate elect ... I think you’d get a Dem prez and Rep vp.

It could be the group hug America needs.

Group hugs are good as it makes it much easier to stab others in the back.

Biden in the lead in GA now by 917 votes!

Trump's odds on Betfair just jumped from 7/1 to 14/1.

nelsonmuntz.gif

He's gonna have a meltdown once the sedation wears off isn't he?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=glggureA_Kk

A tie is very unlikely at this point though, right? I guess if Biden loses Arizona, gains Georgia and Trump takes Nevada, North Carolina & Pennsylvania & Alaska. Can't see any other possibility at this point.

Strangely, considering Arizona has been called by quite a few, Biden looks safer in Nevada. Arizona appears on a knife edge - am I missing anything?

Also, seems odd they haven't called Alaska or North Carolina - Alaska is surely a no hope and NC looks impossible for Biden now. Why are AP et al holding off calling these, considering the very early timing of calling Arizona?

Why are AP holding off calling these, considering the very early timing of calling Arizona?

Possibly because of the criticism over AZ? The cynic in me also reckons they whould eke it out as ad revenue (probably) nosedives in a state once it is called?

A grand on Biden with Betfair would net you £25 if he wins.

A couple of states called for Trump now would at least narrow his EC deficit before Biden cleans up the tail end. It would help ramp up the tension - give the Trumpers something to cheer. Surely good for the ads...

The individual decision desks pride themselves on not being influenced by the media houses they represent.

Calling a state isn't just a case of looking at the estimated votes remaining and the current leads, they look at it in much more detail, down to the individual districts and also the provisional and mail in ballot numbers.

Handy video to use in a variety of circumstances like this https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=KHJbSvidohg

Imagine being a volunteer counter in Georgia, knowing that as soon as you finish, you're going to have to start all over again.

Calling a state isn't just a case of looking at the estimated votes
remaining and the current leads, they look at it in much more detail,
down to the individual districts and also the provisional and mail in
ballot numbers

I get this - just a bit confused by reluctance to call states where Biden appears to have no chance, while they were happy to call Arizona early. Coops may be right in that they are now regretting calling Arizona - and playing safer now. Of all the states currently in play, I'd say AZ is almost the hardest to call, based on the data I can see - but maybe some people know stuff I'm not seeing reported.

Edit - Actually with Arizona - it looks like most of the outstanding ballots are Maricopa county / Pheonix - so perhaps they are sure of a decent chunk coming from them for Biden. Still looks close though. Very close.

I somehow have a feeling that half of them would do it with utmost pleasure. The other half not so much.