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This is where we are.
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At this pace he’s not going to take Georgia.
When I first started tracking the lead and the remaining vote numbers for Georgia Biden needed to get 67% of the remaining votes. Since that time (102823 behind, 301000 est votes remaining) he's brought it down to 12835 behind and 50000 est votes remaining.
Those last figures mean he's down to needing ~63%. That means along the way he's been picking up more than 63%.
The question is whether the remaining districts left to declare are similarly pro-Biden in at least a similar proportion. There's no way to predict that from the state-wide data.
(All numbers from the "Which states haven't been called yet?" section of this Guardian page: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2020/nov/03/us-election-2020-live-results-donald-trump-joe-biden-who-won-presidential-republican-democrat )
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It'll be fine.
Probably.
(t's and c's apply)
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Tonts
Greenbank
villa-ru
@Tijmen
At this pace he’s not going to take Georgia. Could someone authoritatively say it’s all going to work out so I can stop refreshing everything and just take the night off?