US Politics

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GoatandTricycle in reply to @christianSpaceman

I think in some way you have to accept that betting does influence an outcome. To what extent or in which direction is far harder to determine.

I only bet on things where there seems to be an emotional or other bias in the market. It happens a lot with home fighting boxers, a UK fighter in a UK betting market will be better value than a foreign fighter.

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Dramatic_Hammer in reply to @GoatandTricycle

There certainly seem to be subset of people who vote a certain way because they think that choice will win.

Betting changes odds which are often used (incorrectly) to predict winners by commentators.

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GoatandTricycle in reply to @Dramatic_Hammer

This is certainly true.
I’d imagine there might also be apathy and motivation for some others.
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mmccarthy in reply to @Dramatic_Hammer

There certainly seem to be subset of people who vote a certain way because they think that choice will win.

That is a depressingly likely issue

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