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GoatandTricycle
Same, similar odds also. I got him last time a couple of days before the FBI announced they'd investigate Clinton at decent odds (like 11, or something crazy from memory) .
There'll be something similar this time maybe, and I think that people are over estimating how important all this focus on his competance is going to be; he's known to be totally incompetent and wildly unfit, but is still in the race, so that hasn't worked properly.
Haven't they (GOP) been preparing the actual infrastructure around voting and around calling close deicisions for some time? I think that might be important.