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@Acliff
For Froome and Geraint, as they are getting older, perhaps their peak performance is still TDF winning, but their bodies can hold that peak for shorter due to age?
Of course, Jumbo Visma, may well just be stronger this year and got the training, prep and riders right.
Team Sky/ Ineos/BC have been masters of peaking for Olympics/tour for a while, so definitely wouldn’t count them out yet.