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Wasn't 60,000 the 'best case' scenario in Ferguson's model?
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ONS figures are out, nearly 50,000 people have now died:
https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-britain-casualties/uk-covid-19-death-toll-tops-47000-as-pressure-heaps-on-pm-johnson-idUKKBN23211E -
The FT keeping a running commentary on what they estimate the current figures to be:
https://twitter.com/ChrisGiles_/status/1265283804442382337
Oliver Schick
Fox
greentricky
@dicki
talk on r.4 just now of 60,000 excess deaths this year
only caught it out of the corner of my ear so not 100% sure how accurate i heard