• So if 5% of the population have had it then using 98.5% and 99.5% figures we get:-

    -ve result would be 99.973% accurate
    +ve result would be 91.284% accurate

    If 1% of the population have had it then:-
    -ve would be 99.995% accurate
    +ve would be 66.779% accurate

    If 10% of the population have had it then:-
    -ve would be 99.944% accurate
    +ve would be 95.673% accurate

    What are you doing to get a shift in sensitivity/specificity based on an outside factor?

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