Chat about Novel Coronavirus - 2019-nCoV - COVID-19

I can't believe the UK is thinking about lowering restrictions with ~3,500 new cases per day... It's madness...

Judging by what i saw today 6 weeks has been enough for them and the new stay alert bllx just confused the fook out of everyone So its back to normal. Unless your welsh or Scottish of course . French deaths went back up today as well.

The virus hasn't budged so we are walking away. Easiest pandemic of all time.

I can't believe the UK is thinking about lowering restrictions with ~3,500 new cases per day... It's madness...

Possibly yes, but contrary to my pessimistic predictions the numbers do look like they are falling quite considerably.

It may well be regional in that London has been hit quite hard and the tail end of the wave is hitting more Northern cities/areas.

If the second wave is far less than expected (and I've been predicting a second wave bigger than the first) then that will be a big fucking relief, although there is little to explain it if the estimates of only 5%-10% of the population have had it (based on random antibody testing) are true as it doesn't explain why it isn't ripping through the remaining population.

it doesn't explain why it isn't ripping through the remaining population.

Unless it is & a much higher proportion are asymptomatic?

There are also measures in place to prevent infection, they're inadequate to stop a lot of preventable deaths, but people keeping somewhat apart, mostly staying home, washing their hands more and not ramming into pubs/clubs/stadiums etc. will help to a degree.

Symptoms or not, you’d show antibodies during/after the disease.

Is there a plan to test everyone now?

Are there any comparisons/modelling between one specific colds strain (as flu is nowhere near as infectious / have a vaccine) and infection rates of covid? As seasonal flu strains are tracked, but it is not as infectious/there are vaccines so I don't think that even for speculation that is any good.

If a cold doesn't managed to spread everywhere, even with the usual activity, maybe something as dangerous as covid doesn't either?

although there is little to explain it if the estimates of only 5%-10%

Actual tests show that London was 10% about three weeks ago now, which was covering people who would have been positive three weeks before that. Not sure 5-10% is a reasonable estimate.

Also interesting to see UK has added anosmia to the list of reasons to get a test self isolate.

(Realised two seconds into my run that I'd written the wrong thing, now corrected.)

Streatham high road absolutely heaving rn.

People in the q outside superdrug getting pissy with the staff for not allowing more customers in the door. Astonishing.

Anecdotally feels like some people aren't as bothered about social distancing since last week. Like they can only countenance full lockdown mode or living as per usual, no shades of grey in between. Maybe there is something to the idea that society tires of semi-isolation after a set period?

Streatham high road ..... Astonishing.

Is it tho? That's the land of no craic. First time there was going to the cinema. Standing in the foyer debating whether or not to buy popcorn and a lit firework rocket was lobbed in through the front doors. Been back in the area periodically for the last 14 years, it has not got any better. My nearest big Tesco is the one by the common. Security guards are constantly given grief about the restrictions. A couple of weekly shops ago there was a man and a woman having a socially distanced fight by taking turns at ramming the same trolley back and forward into each other.

Streatham High Road was voted 'worst high street in Britain' around 20 years ago. I'm not sure that it has improved much since then.
The first MacDonalds to shut down since their introduction to the UK, was in SHR.
And yet, when I was a kid, SHR was regarded as 'Little West End'.
2 Cinemas, theatre, bowling alley, dance hall, branch of John Lewis, numerous pubs and restaurants.
[/not nostalgic]

Thats what I bought.
Oxygen levels drop when I hold my breath until I almost faint, so it does something right.

Is there a plan to test everyone now?

I doubt it. You can measure the antibody distribution through the public with randomised tests.

Yeh but i have never tested positive .... oh too late killed my gran.

You forgot the ice rink. Was there really a John Lewis in Streatham?

Dammit - forgot the ice rink. And the swimming pool next door.
Yep. John Lewis. Pratts of Streatham.
I bought my video recorder from them in the 80s
The shop was an utter rabbit's warren of rooms/spaces.
Some of which exited into Prentis Road.
ETA - Their Hi-Fi department had more than its fair share of Bang & Olufsen kit.

Oh the joys of St Reatham, my cousin lived right next door to the police station (when it was open), across the road was a well known drug den, and when she was broken into, it took 5 days for the po po to contact her.

To be fair to the police if they only dealt with the nearest crime they would never get more than a few hundred yards from the station.

True, although some days they had moved police operations to Subway and KFC, which were about 50 meters from the station.

pfft. We've got a hipster brewery using streatham's famous streatham spa water, an artisan smokehouse for handmade bacon, and sourdough loaves and single-origin coffee coming out of our ears. And the occasional terrorist attack, I'll grant you.

We've got a hipster brewery using streatham's famous streatham spa water, an artisan smokehouse for handmade bacon, and sourdough loaves and single-origin coffee coming out of our ears.

That's like saying you've a betting agent and fried chicken shop these days.