• "We don't know that lockdown is the best way to go about this:" Well....that depends. If you don't want the virus to spread, you need a form of lockdown followed up by test and trace.

    Russia now is having a huge growth in cases, after Putin's "i'll be grand".

    We know lockdown reduces new cases. But we also know Sweden is pretty much in a voluntary lockdown, and the China lockdown was way stricter. So you also need to compare lockdown adherence (hello VE day party groups) to make it even trickier...

    Netherlands is carefully re-opening and allowing some small shops to re-open with extra safety, so perhaps they can throw up some useful data in a few weeks.

  • There were lots of papers on N1H1 that showed different forms of lockdown don’t make a lot of difference (and that baselines in hygiene makes quite a lot). So it’s fair to ask if there is a sweet spot of liberty vs precaution vs legislation.

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