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I can update when they present some new data, i believe this was due out this week.
Its based on antibodytesting and modelling from that ofcourse. I think it also takes into account that the r is now lower than previously with current distancing methods so they (if i recall correctly) think "herd immunity" will be reached at a lower procentage of the population than previously reported. I believe the number i last heard was 40%
So from what i have gathered they believe that more than 40% of stockholms citizens will have been affected by the virus sooner than a month from now. If thats holds true or not i have no idea but they seem to have been way more accurate about swedens projections than the models one can find online in various models.
They = the swedish health authorities if that wasent clear .)
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badboybjorn
What is the source for this? Sounds promising