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I can update when they present some new data, i believe this was due out this week.
Its based on antibodytesting and modelling from that ofcourse. I think it also takes into account that the r is now lower than previously with current distancing methods so they (if i recall correctly) think "herd immunity" will be reached at a lower procentage of the population than previously reported. I believe the number i last heard was 40%
So from what i have gathered they believe that more than 40% of stockholms citizens will have been affected by the virus sooner than a month from now. If thats holds true or not i have no idea but they seem to have been way more accurate about swedens projections than the models one can find online in various models.
They = the swedish health authorities if that wasent clear .)
Sure i dont think anyone is saying dont be cautious dont do social distancing.
Just there are other ways than a complete lockdown. We are for some reason not doing nearly as bad as we are suppose to if one looked at what the "experts" were saying.
We have an R value below 1 now for some time and stockholm is supposedly only a month away from herd immunity and this was achieved whilst still going on with lives in a relative normal fashion.