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How good are behavioural science models / approaches at predicting human behaviour at a societal level under unprecedented conditions?
There are uncertainties in epdimiology, particularly in relation to a new virus, but placing greater emphasis on the behavioural science than the epidemiology seems to have been fairly dumb in retrospect (some of us were even saying so at the time).
An error which is even worse if the behavioural scientists weren't actually staying that, but it was just a sort of instinct that Chris Whitty had.
deleted
No I'm not. My background is in a related field though. The problem is that "behavioural science" means a lot of different things. Some aspects of it are barely sciencey, some are very tightly evidenced, but too controlled to be of real-use application. Somewhere in the middle is some useful stuff.