• There is no response that results in no deaths. That Lonely Joe Parker twitter thread that @William. linked above is worth a read, specifically this:

    "This was an impossible task for BJ: There is no such thing as a 'perfect' strategy out of lockdown.

    Unknown:

    • We still don't know if acquired immunity is effective, or lasting;
    • We don't really know community prevalence;
    • We don't have ANY idea how long this will go on.. 3/

    We do however have a fairly good idea of the costs - and I'm talking in genuine, statistically-attributable, earlier-than-necessary, DEATHS here - of economic contraction. They are not trivial. They run to thousands a week, too. 4/"

  • Source for the thousands a week? Or is that world-wide, not just UK? The BBC wrote an article about avoidable deaths due to people not going to hospital/other reasons, their source said it was too early to call an exact figure.

    Sure there is no "perfect" solution, but mass test/trace is recommended and the UK is not there yet.

  • Source for the thousands a week? Or is that world-wide, not just UK? The BBC wrote an article about avoidable deaths due to people not going to hospital/other reasons, their source said it was too early to call an exact figure.

    Sure there is no "perfect" solution, but mass test/trace is recommended and the UK is not there yet.

    So what do we do until test/trace is in place? How good does that have to be before we ease lockdown? If we don't have an exact number of deaths and long-term impairment of health and wellbeing caused by lockdown, what would be a reasonable assumption and how do we weigh that up against the direct harm caused by the virus?

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