-
We're in Week 6 of the UK (partial) Shutdown,
and
the upper limit of R0 is 0.9.
The bulk figure of daily mortalities for Eng & wales may be slightly declining,
(using the rolling 7-day average beloved by those providing graphs),
but,
we have local hot spots disguised by London seemingly being at least a few days
ahead of other regions/ NHS regions within E&W.
If betwen 500 & 1000 deaths per day are an acceptable level of mortality,
reduce the restrictions.
mespilus-
We're in Week 6 of the UK (partial) Shutdown, and the upper limit of R0 is 0.9. The bulk figure of daily mortalities for Eng & wales may be slightly declining, (using the rolling 7-day average beloved by those providing graphs), but, we have local hot spots disguised by London seemingly being at least a few days ahead of other regions/ NHS regions within E&W. If betwen 500 & 1000 deaths per day are an acceptable level of mortality, reduce the restrictions.
You're going to have to do the work for me. Why does that mean:
As the Uk has never had a Lockdown as severe as Italy, Spain or France, any lessening of restrictions seems to lead directly to a second peak.
Unless you meant easing of restrictions in Italy/Spain/France?
If you simply mean now is not the time to ease restrictions, I think the confusion is bringing the other countries in to it. Having had fewer cases, which presumably a stricter lockdown would have resulted in, is unlikely to prevent a second peak.
I don't follow?