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If we relaxed our rules further than what they currently are there's a good chance the numbers would start going up instead of being steady / very slowly down.
Yes, the numbers probably will increase, but IMO an increase in and of itself wouldn't necessarily prove there has been a policy failure. The critical matters is for the number of severe cases to not increase beyond hospital capacity to care for them.
That being said, I appreciate that no one has the any very precise tools to manage that number, so there is always the risk of the infection starting to run amok to the point where almost any policy is bound to fail.
starfish&coffee
The new relaxed rules in Spain and Italy look a lot like our "full lockdown" rules.
If we relaxed our rules further than what they currently are there's a good chance the numbers would start going up instead of being steady / very slowly down.