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We're in Week 6 of the UK (partial) Shutdown,
and
the upper limit of R0 is 0.9.
The bulk figure of daily mortalities for Eng & wales may be slightly declining,
(using the rolling 7-day average beloved by those providing graphs),
but,
we have local hot spots disguised by London seemingly being at least a few days
ahead of other regions/ NHS regions within E&W.
If betwen 500 & 1000 deaths per day are an acceptable level of mortality,
reduce the restrictions.
mespilus
Yep,
This FT page is free to view for me, at least,
and the UK figure has juped up to within a couple of hundred of the Italian figure.
As the Uk has never had a Lockdown as severe as Italy, Spain or France,
any lessening of restrictions seems to lead directly to a second peak.