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I would have thought the more severe the shutdown the bigger the risk of a 2nd peak. Not the otherway around at least.
I guess the idea here beeing is that the less ppl have had previously the bigger potential growth the virus will have once the lockdown is lifted since more ppl without "immunity" will now come in contact with the virus.
Is it me or has the UK media stopped reporting the total deaths here? Looks like we're about to pass Italy for total deaths (according to woldometers, reliable?)
Lots of talk about easing lockdown since Italy and Spain are doing it. Jumping the gun somewhat, are infection and death rates falling?