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people are starting to ignore the current restrictions
What is the evidence for this? If it is true, isn't that an enforcement issue rather than an issue with the restrictions?
From the data points I have seen, there would be no reason for tightened restrictions.
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Won't the people who ignore the current rules, just ignore the tighter rules anyway? I really hate that whole 'minority ruin it for the rest' way of thought. It's just lazy to punish everyone and a total cop-out of just managing the minority causing the issue.
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people are starting to ignore the current restrictions
What is the evidence for this?
Anecdotally, I've just ridden through Blackheath, having delivered some food to my in-laws.
The Crown, at the top of the village has a beer garden out front, which was chock-full of people sitting on the benches shoulder to shoulder drinking and chatting. It looked like it does on a normal summers day. That would never have happened a week or so ago.
RonnieOatmilk
Jingle_Jangle
apc
I think it'll be tightened further because people are starting to ignore the current restrictions and, without any change, this will only increase and R0 will start to creep back above 1.
Reiterating the same/current message isn't going to make people start to stick to it properly and there aren't many other options open other than to increase the restrictions temporarily in order to get back to where we should be now.
My other guess is that schools will start to go back (in some form, maybe just primary first) sometime around 1st June. But that's highly dependent on there being enough teaching staff available. I know some teachers at my daughter's school can't go back as they need to remain isolated (either directly or indirectly due to caring responsibilities), so it may be partial (no reception for example).
Many children of key workers are already mixing with other children of key workers. My daughter's school has somewhere between 5 and 15 children (out of 210) in school depending on the parent's shifts.