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Could we not simply look at the ave deaths over the last 10 years, extrapolate that imaginary line through now, and everything above it can be considered COVID19?
Kind of. The problem is someone who has a stroke and doesn't get to hospital in time due to infection fear is an excess death caused by the crisis but isn't helpful to include when you are trying to work out if you can relax restrictions.
jellybaby-
But would that not be offset by the fewer deaths from non-C19 things due to being in lockdown?
I think there has been a spike of cycling deaths due to speeding and more cyclists who would never been on a bike but forced to as its an excuse to get out, but again, far fewer than those that couldve been if there wasnt a lockdown (only hyperthetical rationalisation).
We had a graph showing the flu flat line over the years, and a spike in the deaths attributed to C19 as hospital deaths but this can also be used to show non hospital recorded deaths too.
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Surely you would want that included? It’s a consequence. A death is a death?
No one needs that many surely’s
ChainBreaker
GoatandTricycle
Could we not simply look at the ave deaths over the last 10 years, extrapolate that imaginary line through now, and everything above it can be considered COVID19?
Very basic i know as we probably had an ave drop on non COVID as we are all forced to stay at home and not be stupid or exposed, but you get what i mean?
Or will that only be available when we have more information, as is the caviat always.