Just enough asymptotic carriers to spread the virus, not anything like enough for herd immunity without crippling healthcare. Feels like lockdown until we have a vaccine to me.
I know anecdote is not the singular of data, but as far as I can tell I spent 4 hours in a car on March 14th sitting next to a guy who went symptomatic the next day, on the way back from a ski holiday where I was eating, drinking, car-sharing, bubble-lift sharing and lift queuing with 100 people at least 4 of whom reported symptoms over the next two weeks, and one of whom had a horrible cough that he'd picked up in an Austrian ski resort but insisted he didn;t have CV and coughed all over us for a week.
So I spent the next 3 weeks convinced I was about to get C19. But it never showed up. So from my sample of 100, either it's much less infectious than we've been lead to believe or a lot of us were asymptomatic.
either it's much less infectious than we've been lead to believe or a lot of us were asymptomatic.
That's the thing though, right - it does seem like a lot of people are asymptomatic, and even more so if you're reasonably healthy and broadly speaking young.
even more so if you're reasonably healthy and broadly speaking young.
Unless you're not asymptomatic at all and get papped into a ventilator, or, are like my cycle-fit mid 30's manager who is still breathless a month later.
I know anecdote is not the singular of data, but as far as I can tell I spent 4 hours in a car on March 14th sitting next to a guy who went symptomatic the next day, on the way back from a ski holiday where I was eating, drinking, car-sharing, bubble-lift sharing and lift queuing with 100 people at least 4 of whom reported symptoms over the next two weeks, and one of whom had a horrible cough that he'd picked up in an Austrian ski resort but insisted he didn;t have CV and coughed all over us for a week.
So I spent the next 3 weeks convinced I was about to get C19. But it never showed up. So from my sample of 100, either it's much less infectious than we've been lead to believe or a lot of us were asymptomatic.