Science, Statistics and Studies [SARS-CoV-2]

Is this good news yet? I'd like some good news.

Not really.

In summary:
there will be an increase in number of cases and deaths associated with SARS-CoV-2 until there aren't.
(personal opinion)

BOOOO.
But does that not show a decrease?

Only in hospital fatalities.

There's still non hospital deaths.
I'd look at the ONS page here
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsregisteredweeklyinenglandandwalesprovisional/weekending27march2020

Summary of new study looking at the link between air pollution and corona severity:
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/apr/07/air-pollution-linked-to-far-higher-covid-19-death-rates-study-finds

ICNARC data analysing 2621 COVID -19 admission to ICU's to 3rd April
https://www.icnarc.org/About/Latest-News/2020/04/04/Report-On-2249-Patients-Critically-Ill-With-Covid-19

As ever Nurse Trainer Dr Campbell brings out the salient points.
Striking ratio of male (73%) to female (27%) cases
https://youtu.be/LL5qEluaBhc

Striking ratio of male (73%) to female (27%) cases

Just listening to Lancet weekly briefing on this - question over if this is down to behaviour or physiology. Probably the former.

Wasn't sure where to post but if you want to bursh up on some stats, there are some awesome academic books currently available for free from Springer:
https://www.reddit.com/r/learnmachinelearning/comments/fvncjm/springer_is_giving_free_access_to_409_of_its/

https://twitter.com/trishgreenhalgh/status/1249743825637199875?s=19

If anyone wants to get started
https://www.coursera.org/learn/covid19-epidemiology

Latest ONS numbers:
https://microcosm.app/out/hFfbi

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsregisteredweeklyinenglandandwalesprovisional/weekending3april2020

The provisional number of deaths registered in England and Wales in
the week ending 3 April 2020 (Week 14) was 16,387; this represents an
increase of 5,246 deaths registered compared with the previous week
(Week 13) and 6,082 more than the five-year average.

Of the deaths registered in Week 14, 3,475 mentioned “novel
coronavirus (COVID-19)”, which was 21.2% of all deaths; this compares
with 539 (4.8% of all deaths) in Week 13.

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1250029245650386946

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsinvolvingcovid19englandandwales/deathsoccurringinmarch2020

What does he say? He's blocked me.

That one of the FT charts, while plotted correctly, was being interpreted poorly (low r-squared score being used to make the claim that there was is a "strong" relationship between timing of lockdown and number of deaths).

Right, thanks.

wait.. why did he block you?

I don't know, precisely. He's notoriously thin-skinned. I think I liked something someone said to him that he didn't like.

Has anyone got any info on this stuff about the source of the virus being some lab in Wuhan - preferably a sensible debunking! Obviously trying to be open minded when people bring up their own theories, but it sounds classic tinfoil hat to me. Especially considering all the other sources point to this food market (and many people had predicted these exotic food markets could be the source of a major pandemic).

It's the same old bollocks as HIV being man made.

Oh, I completely think it’s a bullshit theory. But just trying to equip myself with sufficient information to the contrary - in laws seem easily lead in these situations, lots of talk of “mainstream media” and how you have to keep an open mind about these things. Personally I’m not really giving it any credence, but providing decent information on the contrary seems to help me keep my sanity.

Just about to read a series of articles on genetic analysis of the origins of covid... will share if useful.

Edit: so I think part 3 of this series is roughly what you are looking for, but part 1 and part 2 provide informative background info.

Edit: so I think part 3 of this series is roughly what you are looking for, but part 1 and part 2 provide informative background info.

That is exactly what I was after. Cheers!

The claim by Nobel laureate Luc Montagnier (discoverer of HIV) that SARS-CoV-2 genome contains inserted HIV sequences is based on a now-withdrawn preprint of a study that contained significant flaws in design and execution. The alleged “HIV insertions” identified by study authors are in fact gene sequences that can also be found in many other organisms besides HIV.