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Just enough asymptotic carriers to spread the virus, not anything like enough for herd immunity without crippling healthcare. Feels like lockdown until we have a vaccine to me.
I know anecdote is not the singular of data, but as far as I can tell I spent 4 hours in a car on March 14th sitting next to a guy who went symptomatic the next day, on the way back from a ski holiday where I was eating, drinking, car-sharing, bubble-lift sharing and lift queuing with 100 people at least 4 of whom reported symptoms over the next two weeks, and one of whom had a horrible cough that he'd picked up in an Austrian ski resort but insisted he didn;t have CV and coughed all over us for a week.
So I spent the next 3 weeks convinced I was about to get C19. But it never showed up. So from my sample of 100, either it's much less infectious than we've been lead to believe or a lot of us were asymptomatic.
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2020/apr/20/studies-suggest-very-few-have-had-covid-19-without-symptoms
Just enough asymptotic carriers to spread the virus, not anything like enough for herd immunity without crippling healthcare. Feels like lockdown until we have a vaccine to me.