-
I’m not suggesting that will be the outcome, just that it’s possible a vaccine could have a negative outcome. It was to counter what seemed to be positive speculation on your part.
My point was more that, after preventing people from getting it which seems extremely difficult with drastic measures, remaining under the capacity to treat is perhaps the most important factor.
Seemingly there is much more capacity available so my question is why do we not ease the lockdown. This will lead to deaths, but to say this is immoral misses the complexity to which you allude.
GoatandTricycle-
I’m not suggesting that will be the outcome, just that it’s possible a vaccine could have a negative outcome. It was to counter what seemed to be positive speculation on your part.
So vaccine aside the world is far better at mitigating C19 now than it was two months ago. For instance how to arrange space and resource, numbers of patients needing x equipment and how to best use staff and rest patients. These are just a few examples. There is also work using existing and new anti-virals.
-
My point was more that, after preventing people from getting it which seems extremely difficult with drastic measures, remaining under the capacity to treat is perhaps the most important factor.
Which hospital is under capacity?
If there are spare ‘Covid-19’ beds that is just that, a spare bed. Equipment is in demand as are personnel. It’s these that make a bed into an Intensive Care Bed.
The Nightingale hospitals are not intensive care beds where you’d get a first class chance of survival. They’re an overflow car park for cases when the optimum care can’t be delivered.
You don’t want to use those hospitals.
miro_o
Just to clarify... are you suggesting that a vaccine for c19 is likely to do more harm than good? I’m aware there are dangers and pressures to rush but that seems unlikely to me.
The cost/benefit analysis is ridiculously complex. I’m deeply suspicious of the argument to let people die now. I believe if the situation is too complex to calculate or has ambiguity you should, within reason just do what is immediately, morally right.
Like I said up thread, alternative narratives (that happen to align with money) have already done irreparable damage.