• But one born in history no?
    I’m not saying you are wrong but it seems overly simplistic to say 2 deaths today would only be say 1 in 6 months.

    If healthcare workers continue to be as affected outcomes could feasibly get worse?
    Maybe I’m just a bit doom and gloom today.

  • Just to clarify... are you suggesting that a vaccine for c19 is likely to do more harm than good? I’m aware there are dangers and pressures to rush but that seems unlikely to me.

    The cost/benefit analysis is ridiculously complex. I’m deeply suspicious of the argument to let people die now. I believe if the situation is too complex to calculate or has ambiguity you should, within reason just do what is immediately, morally right.

    Like I said up thread, alternative narratives (that happen to align with money) have already done irreparable damage.

  • I’m not suggesting that will be the outcome, just that it’s possible a vaccine could have a negative outcome. It was to counter what seemed to be positive speculation on your part.

    My point was more that, after preventing people from getting it which seems extremely difficult with drastic measures, remaining under the capacity to treat is perhaps the most important factor.
    Seemingly there is much more capacity available so my question is why do we not ease the lockdown. This will lead to deaths, but to say this is immoral misses the complexity to which you allude.

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