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I’m not saying you are wrong but it seems overly simplistic to say 2 deaths today would only be say 1 in 6 months.
Or, hypothetically, 2 deaths from Covid-19 today or 1 death from Covid-19 and one suicide in 6 months? Or ...
A prolonged lockdown (to prevent a larger proportion of earlier deaths) will come at a different set of costs. Predicting exactly what/how/etc is quite rightly impossible, and it's impossible to work out how the various aspects would play out against each other.
But one born in history no?
I’m not saying you are wrong but it seems overly simplistic to say 2 deaths today would only be say 1 in 6 months.
If healthcare workers continue to be as affected outcomes could feasibly get worse?
Maybe I’m just a bit doom and gloom today.