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But one born in history no?
I’m not saying you are wrong but it seems overly simplistic to say 2 deaths today would only be say 1 in 6 months.If healthcare workers continue to be as affected outcomes could feasibly get worse?
Maybe I’m just a bit doom and gloom today.
GoatandTricycle-
I’m not saying you are wrong but it seems overly simplistic to say 2 deaths today would only be say 1 in 6 months.
Or, hypothetically, 2 deaths from Covid-19 today or 1 death from Covid-19 and one suicide in 6 months? Or ...
A prolonged lockdown (to prevent a larger proportion of earlier deaths) will come at a different set of costs. Predicting exactly what/how/etc is quite rightly impossible, and it's impossible to work out how the various aspects would play out against each other.
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Just to clarify... are you suggesting that a vaccine for c19 is likely to do more harm than good? I’m aware there are dangers and pressures to rush but that seems unlikely to me.
The cost/benefit analysis is ridiculously complex. I’m deeply suspicious of the argument to let people die now. I believe if the situation is too complex to calculate or has ambiguity you should, within reason just do what is immediately, morally right.
Like I said up thread, alternative narratives (that happen to align with money) have already done irreparable damage.
Greenbank
miro_o
Now that’s speculation.