• That thread seems a little incoherent to me. I don’t understand the logic in late lockdown being a cause of poor recovery rate.

    Late lockdown causing more deaths overall seems (sadly) very likely, but that’s another story.

    Maybe I am being naive? If there are avoidable deaths through lack of hospital resources that counts as recovery rate. I’m not sure the UK is terrible in this regard? In the south west right now we have almost empty covid wards.

  • I think her gist is that on balance/average, the uk took ages to shut things down (and still is far from coherent) and has a larger number of deaths for the size of population. Those are true statements but whether there is a correlation is unknown.

  • being a cause of poor recovery rate

    She's not talking about recovery rates, but deaths - or did I miss something?

    The point being that an earlier lockdown would have prevented the kind of spread that happens at mass events such as the ones still going ahead, and therefore also the deaths resulting from that spread.

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