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Well, it you have a Pantomime PM who on March 7th would rather be at Twickenham to watch the rugby, than call for a shutdown, our current death curve is the result.
So we're knocking on 1,000 deaths a day and presumably by tomorrow almost 10,000 total. Patrick Vallance was quoted yesterday as saying the peak is at least two weeks away.
If it peaked at 'only' 1,500 14 days from now, my reckoning is we'd be at almost 30,000 by then.
This is fucking grim.