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No idea if this particular virus is deemed a high risk for a second wave but thought it was interesting that the 2nd wave theory is apparently less universally accepted than before.
Surely it would depend a lot on 1) what the 'first wave' is like and 2) what restrictions on the public are put in place and how they are relaxed exactly?
SwissChap-
I assume that there are hundreds of possible factors.
One thing I do know is that the reasons behind the deadly second wave of the Spanish Flu are still up for debate. Some research shows that it was likely caused by a mutation, other research shows that it was likely caused by simple seasonal weather changes. There is even research out there claiming that the second wave of Spanish Flu deaths was actually exacerbated by the over-prescribing of Aspirin.
I suppose that the uncertainty doesn't change much in that the authorities will still have to be ready for the possibility. I just wanted to emphasise that a 2nd wave isn't necessarily a nailed on thing.
Stonehedge
The public health guys I worked with during the 2009 pandemic used to talk about a second wave a lot but I gather that a growing number of epidemiologists don't think that a second wave is inevitable in all cases. No idea if this particular virus is deemed a high risk for a second wave but thought it was interesting that the 2nd wave theory is apparently less universally accepted than before in general pandemic planning terms.