-
Well, I won't read the whole thing; I assume this paper is already quite old, well, in fast-moving epidemic terms, that is--it says 'for official use only', and FragdenStaat seems to be an FOI-type site, so this is probably an internal strategy paper written early on that was published on FdS when the FOI request (or however they do this in Germany) had been processed.
It seems that apart from the points you've pulled out (and the one mentioned by SwissChap), there are some important nuances to increasing hospital capacity, namely that even if the epidemic is successfully contained ("eingedämmt", literally 'dammed up'), availability of assisted breathing equipment will not only have to continue to be increased for the most critically ill, but also for medium severity cases; that the German models assume a 'worst case' scenario of 1 million dead in Germany alone; and that it is crucial to increase public trust in institutions and official bodies and to bring society together over it.
Then there's a very concise briefing on models and communicating them, followed by some pretty wild stuff on a possible social 'nuclear meltdown' that could lead all the way to anarchy! (Where do I sign up?) The whole system could be called into question! The bit that SwissChap highlights is part of this general 'it's the economy, stupid!' theme.
After this, there are various scenarios that I haven't read in detail (up to the end of page 10, which doesn't seem like the complete document).
Definitely a good source of information, and it seems that this paper is probably not superseded yet.
You are reading a single comment by @Oliver Schick and its replies.
Click here to read the full conversation.
Oliver Schick
German exit strategy - I'm relying on Google Translate, maybe @Oliver Schick can correct anything I've gotten wrong
https://fragdenstaat.de/dokumente/4123-wie-wir-covid-19-unter-kontrolle-bekommen/
It seems to me that the plan involves:
Planners seem aware that lockdown can't be continued indefinitely, but the way it is explained implies to me that if the infection rate threatens to exceed testing/hospital capacity, it will be re-imposed.