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You’ve been making this prediction for over a week now
My prediction was within two weeks, made a week ago. This was based on personal experience of the decision making process, conversations I had had with local police officers about what they are reporting up the chain of command and conversations I have had with my former colleagues at PHE.
The social distancing guidelines have been delivered in such an ambiguous way that its easy for people to convince themselves that they are being reasonable.
I reckon we'll be on a similar lockdown as France in a few days.