• Well not quite. For example, the number of tests run is pretty important too. We've seen it in other places before, a drop in the number of new infected one day, correlating with a drop in tests performed that day.

    Also, that doesn't change anything about the fact that the data is pretty noisy, and basing anything on single-day numbers is a bit shaky. See the FT graph above, where they add up all new cases of the last week on each day, which makes for a much more convincing measure.

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