• Only skimmed it but

    Publicly available statistics tell us that in Italy over the last five
    years, flu deaths have been running at 17,000 per year, say in round
    terms, 1400 per month.

    and

    First, that if the Coronavirus is here for some time, and if it
    continues to cause around 10,000 or 12,000 deaths per year, the total
    death toll would rise by that amount. Yet the extra deaths would still
    be lower than the “normal” flu deaths with which we have been living
    for many years.

    Quick google tells me Italy has had about 8200 corona related deaths so far, and that's in a just few weeks. Highly doubt it'll stop at 12000 or 17000.

    I get his point, that people die of the flu and other "avoidable" causes every year, but the current spike we have is still something out of the ordinary

  • Quick google tells me Italy has had about 8200 corona related deaths so far, and that's in a just few weeks. Highly doubt it'll stop at 12000 or 17000.

    Depends on their attribution.

  • Of course. To me this seems a bit like the chicken vs egg conundrum. If you have an underlying issue but it's a flu that takes you round the corner, how do you attribute it?

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