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Howard
Thanks :)
But you'd expect at least a big spike like with a serious influenza outbreak I guess?
But would that not mean the ICU admissions AND death rate would have shown earlier, and kept high, unlike with the flu, assuming all countries follow roughly the same peak?
Though as you say the problem is that people often don't get one thing (especially not as covid19 has it in for you especially if you are already ill) so that may make it just impossible to answer this way.
It is hard to say, I guess if China discovered it early December, it is possible some travelers have dragged it in the already. But it is also all speculation.