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1: A peak in ICU beds use for respiratory issues as people would have infected each other much earlier (we would be earlier on the curve) based on the assumption the virus was as serious and as spreadable then
Could have happened, just under the radar, as influenza.
2: Reasonable test coverage based on the assumption that the NHS will test people for common issues in ICU beds...which means there'd be a spike coinciding with test results that don't match the common suspects
You only find what you test for, and the people in the ICUs often having multiple conditions you just pick the one that's the most obvious.
But yeah. I wouldn't be surprised if it's been around a while, but then I wouldn't be surprised if it hasn't.
Howard
@JWestland
I had a chat with my partner about the theory Covid has been around for longer.
He doubt this, as he would expect to see
1: A peak in ICU beds use for respiratory issues as people would have infected each other much earlier (we would be earlier on the curve) based on the assumption the virus was as serious and as spreadable then
2: Reasonable test coverage based on the assumption that the NHS will test people for common issues in ICU beds...which means there'd be a spike coinciding with test results that don't match the common suspects
I don't know for sure if 1/2 are publicly reported. Well maybe I am bored later today and will go on a search chase.