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I know others have answered but the author gives his reasons here as he gets that question every time he posts a new one:
https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1237748598051409921
greentricky
kboy
Those charts are a bit visually misleading I think. Look at the scale on the right hand side, if that hadn't been exponential (right word?) those lines would've looked a lot grimmer