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Honestly not sure if we are still doing the managed spread, flat curve thing or have changed to some kind of quicker eradicate current spread thing. The worst would be to be caught between both approaches perhaps? Anyway I'm guessing you are hinting at 'if we don't order it we can at least say "we did tell them", if shit hits the fan'...?
Squaredisk
There is also the assumption that the desired outcome of saying don’t go the pub is people not going to the pub.