I thought it was pretty well accepted that last week's behavioural science / herd immunity strategy was in tatters, and that the predictive modeling that drove it was based on false assumptions.
Some source information here:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/18/neil-ferguson-coronavirus-expert-who-is-working-on-despite-symptoms
Change in strategy resulted in SAGE accepting the Imperial MRC research as I understand it.
Talking as they did of herd immunity was a PR debacle but the theory remains, if you value stability ~ next spring.
It involves more people dying overall ... so of course government will avoid dwelling on it.
I think the measures being taken elsewhere gave them ‘permission’ to implement similar here.
@miro_o started
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I thought it was pretty well accepted that last week's behavioural science / herd immunity strategy was in tatters, and that the predictive modeling that drove it was based on false assumptions.
Some source information here:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/18/neil-ferguson-coronavirus-expert-who-is-working-on-despite-symptoms
Change in strategy resulted in SAGE accepting the Imperial MRC research as I understand it.