I thought it was pretty well accepted that last week's behavioural science / herd immunity strategy was in tatters, and that the predictive modeling that drove it was based on false assumptions.
Some source information here:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/18/neil-ferguson-coronavirus-expert-who-is-working-on-despite-symptoms
Change in strategy resulted in SAGE accepting the Imperial MRC research as I understand it.
With the timing I saw that as media management and continued nudging.
[edit] Input data altered. Specifically the numbers of patients visiting hospital needing itc beds if I remember correctly. [/edit]
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I thought it was pretty well accepted that last week's behavioural science / herd immunity strategy was in tatters, and that the predictive modeling that drove it was based on false assumptions.
Some source information here:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/18/neil-ferguson-coronavirus-expert-who-is-working-on-despite-symptoms
Change in strategy resulted in SAGE accepting the Imperial MRC research as I understand it.