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Some what related but I saw a post somewhere that I now can't find that suggested that China has had a net gain in the living due to the shut down reducing deaths from air pollution and road traffic accidents in over the same period, God knows how you would build that complexity in to the models though
greentricky-
Ha, I shared that. It was from the Guardian ticker. It was based on some preliminary modeling out of the States if I remember correctly. I'll try to pull it up.
edit here's a report from CNN and a link to the research piece.
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/03/17/health/china-air-pollution-coronavirus-deaths-intl/index.html
http://www.g-feed.com/2020/03/covid-19-reduces-economic-activity.html
I've also now read that this may miss some of the knock-on effects (strained health service, economic costs, etc.), so I wouldn't take it as gospel. The author actually edited the paper to make this point.
This is interesting. Someone alluded to this yesterday I think (@dubtap?).
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-51979654