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Some what related but I saw a post somewhere that I now can't find that suggested that China has had a net gain in the living due to the shut down reducing deaths from air pollution and road traffic accidents in over the same period, God knows how you would build that complexity in to the models though
greentricky
@ 
This is interesting. Someone alluded to this yesterday I think (@dubtap?).
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-51979654