Chat about Novel Coronavirus - 2019-nCoV - COVID-19

Friend of mine have it (coronavirus, not COVID-19)

What’s the difference between coronavirus and covid19

Coronavirus is an umbrella term, COVID-19 is a type, here's an example from wiki;

"Coronaviruses are a group of related viruses that cause diseases in mammals and birds. In humans, coronaviruses cause respiratory tract infections that can be mild, such as some cases of the common cold (among other possible causes, predominantly rhinoviruses), and others that can be lethal, such as SARS, MERS, and COVID-19. "

Yeah that makes sense.
Also obvious but that capacity is doubling but availability probably not.

My step mother is coming back as we speak from Aus she is semi retired and does reporting on such things in Dorset. I told her to be ready for a shock and I think she thinks I’m scaremongering.

Tell you what, working from home really screws with my sense of time. I could have been here a month but it's only been a week. Days just slip by. Like in prison.

One product is avoiding the supermarket locust swarms

https://mobile.twitter.com/SamPamphilon/status/1240637488160559104

Latest Freakonomics pod is on social distancing

That's a bit arse about face that definition.

Covid-19 is the disease that this specific virus causes. It's literally " Co rona Vi rus D isease 20 19"

The specific virus has been named "severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2" or SARS-CoV-2 by the WHO.

Source: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/technical-guidance/naming-the-coronavirus-disease-(covid-2019)-and-the-virus-that-causes-it

Good luck! Call the embassy now and clarify maybe?

Thanks, I've been schooled.

That’s literally what he said: it’s a type of coronavirus.

So the imperial graph; means we should expect waves of lockdowns/ distancing etc right?
Also presumably they really need the test for if you’ve been asymptomatic by the release of the first restrictions?

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So the imperial graph; means we should expect waves of lockdowns/ distancing etc right?

I read it as meaning that if you want to keep infections below ICU bed capacity, you need indefinite lockdown until you get a vaccine, because (looking at the green line) pretty much as soon as you relax the restrictions it goes exponential again.

But we are somewhere between green and orange, with hopefully the red line raising..?

You get this:

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I rate the British public's chances of tolerating this at 0%

I imagine that the hope is that we get a vaccine within the 18 month time that one is projected to take.

There is only self-imposed, imperfect case isolation after symptoms present, there is no consistent or effective social distancing, there is no consistent or effective household quarantine

We are on the black line imho

Genuine and probably stupid question, if we have sequenced the virus and have many dead and recovered cases, why does it take so long to produce a vaccine? Is it just the making sure it doesn't kill people part?

That’s literally what he said: it’s a type of coronavirus.

It's literally not.

Covid-19 is not a type of coronavirus. Coronavirus is a virus. Covid-19 is a disease. Covid-19 is caused by a specific coronavirus but Covid-19 is not a type of virus let alone a type of coronavirus.

Yes. And some things could be worse like horrible lifelong pain side effects

That's what I thought, but based on nothing but assumption.

But we are somewhere between green and orange, with hopefully the red line raising..?

I would expect the red line to go up slowly. To raise it from 8 to 9 you'd need to add 670 critical care beds in the country and dedicate them all to this.

(Obviously it's not just a bed that is required, it's the equipment [i.e. ventilators/etc], staff, backup staff, etc.)

Method 1:
Step 1: Identify a target in the genetic code
Step 2: Generate multiple targets
Step 3: Test if this produces a response.
Step 4: see if that confers immunity.

Method 2:
Step 1: Find a method of inactivation
Step 2: Inactivate and test
Step 3: see if that confers immunity

Method 3:
Step 1: Find a unique part of virus.
Step 2: Create large amounts of unique part
Step 3: Check for immune response
Step 4: See if that confers immunity.

That is a very, very, very, very basic version of events, if everything works and then you have step 5: Is this thing safe?
It is not easy, simple or straightforward. Each step will need repeat revisitation, and any STOP points mean start again at step 1 or 2.

Apparently, as long as you find four people of roughly the same size and condition one ventilator can run all four of them.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uClq978oohY

Based on experience following a mass-shooting, according to the post on Twitter where I saw this.

Always been working from an office or away from home, so this will be a new experience for myself to be self-isolated.

Let’s see if this new system from working from home will be something I’ll enjoy or hate when architecting.