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Given they're not testing you cant use the cases figures any more. News agencies should stop quoting them outright.
You all need to then factor it due to delay between getting sick and dying. And that still does not account for asymptomatic cases. So it will be even higher. Sorry that's what the tweet says, didnt read reply.
The CSA's estimates for number of cases are basically the current number of deaths in the UK multiplied by 1,000, per this tweet here:
https://mobile.twitter.com/neil_ferguson/status/1234944654799495168
For clarity - I was referring to reply from Neil Ferguson