• Thanks. As stated- I couldn't find it in the mire of twitter posts and articles.
    As @Chalfie says, it still represents a possible misunderstanding of causality- ie- herd immunity is a potential outcome of the policy, not the policy itself.
    Vallance's response to Hancock's article will be interesting reading...

    I do think we need to step back a bit from demanding unproven strategies, and yes- this means potentially trusting our total omnishambles of a government.

    Neither Taiwan nor Singapore shut schools or workplaces (though Taiwan kept schools closed following Lunar New year for 2 weeks).
    Hong Kong- which has been seemingly similarly successful- shut everything.
    Countries that have shut everything down have had mixed responses, with predominantly worse outcomes than Singapore, say.

    Nothing is proven to work- arguments against Taiwan, Singapore and HK may include the fact that there could be undertesting, they could be early in the viral spread, etc, etc.

    Retrospectively- we can assess.
    Proactively- we can plan based on best evidence. This brings the unpalatable possibility that the decision made was incorrect.

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