Chat about Novel Coronavirus - 2019-nCoV - COVID-19

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spindrift

Updated odds of catching COVID-19:

Mar 1-in-4600

Apr 1-in-140

May 1-in-5

Jun 1-in-2

Jul 1-in-12

Aug 1-in-150

Assumes continue current trajectory, without radical interventions.

Hopefully this gives context to Govt comments about timing
interventions right.

https://twitter.com/ActuaryByDay/status/1238366144261652480?s=20

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starfish&coffee in reply to @spindrift

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