Chat about Novel Coronavirus - 2019-nCoV - COVID-19

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Samuli in reply to @dicki

some medical expert kept saying on radio 4 last night we needed people to be affected to build up long term resistance to corona virus, does that mean we can expect more variations of this flu in years to come, worse more dangerous versions and we need to have some kind of tolerance

SARS and MERS were apparently somewhat similar coronaviruses too. So even if you'd be immune to this, the next version of the virus is probably just different enough. But apparently herd immunity is the way to get through this pandemia indeed.

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Greenbank in reply to @Samuli

https://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/ng-interactive/2014/oct/15/visualised-how-ebola-compares-to-other-infectious-diseases

MERS has a case fatality rate of >40% and an R₀ of ~0.4
SARS has a case fatality rate of 10% and an R₀ of ~2.2

At an estimated R₀ of 1.8 an CSR of 1% this is somewhere near Cholera on this graph.

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Samuli in reply to @Greenbank

Yeah I don't know how similar they are, certainly different in fatality and contagiousness, but seem somewhat similar as viruses looking at these for example https://www.niaid.nih.gov/diseases-conditions/covid-19
https://www.who.int/health-topics/coronavirus

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