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miro_o-
In the actual press conference the CMO basically said that 80% is the absolute worst case scenario that their modelling has predicted as possible but it's a meaningless figure because it's too early doors to have even a general inclination how things will pan out.
But he did confirm that 80% is the absolute worst case scenario that they have in their minds.
It came up because he was asked whether he agreed with Germany's estimate of 70%. He replied that their perfect storm figure was actually 80 but these are utterly meaningless figures so early on.
Stonehedge
In the CMO briefing earlier today, he quoted the reasonable worst case infection rate of the UK at 80%. Presumably this is unlikely but possible.
He also quotes their best estimate of mortality at 1%. This number seemed much firmer.
So, worst case is over half a million deaths in the UK.